November 2025

#98 – Markets, Bitcoin, NVIDIA, Tesla, Politics

AI

Golf

  • Click Stick
  • Full Swing Golf Monitor
  • Tour Pro:
    • Fairway ~60%
    • 8ft putt 50%. 
    • Green in Regulation: 175-200 = 50%. 150-175 = 63%

Trump

    • Big Dinner with Trump and moguls. Ronaldo. Elon. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia
  • Trump with Mamdani
    • Congratulating him
    • Lot’s in common, like housing
    • Very nice remarks from Trump
    • “Shared purpose of serving New Yorkers and how to help with affordability”
    • Fascist? 
  • INSPIRING
    • People want a fight, but it was great and exemplar politics

Political Absurdity

My Post on X. Politicians and Investing: 

  • I need to hook up with Ron Wyden figure out how we can start investing together… He’s got something dialed in that I need to figure out. So much dedication and time he spends publicly standing up for our country in our rights and whatever else… 

“They’ve got the WORST policies. But I don’t talk about them. Because if I talk about it, they might change.” 

Larry Summers – Secretary of Treasury. 

  • Summers resigned his seat on the OpenAI board. 
  • Then Harvard announced it would take a fresh look at his and other faculty members’ ties to Epstein.
  • The immediate cause of Summers’s undoing was the release of a passel of messages in which he asked advice from his friend Epstein on “getting horizontal” with a woman he was pursuing.
  • “She’s already beginning to sound needy 🙂 nice,” Epstein noted

Markets

Bought: 

  • Tesla Down 20% 
  • Meta Down 26% 
  • VOO. Down ~5% . Why? Won’t get filthy rich, but will always be around. 

Bitcoin

  • $125,000 in October
  • $87,000 today. 
  • Down $38k or 30%. 

My Financial Acronyms

FATMAANN

Born: Jan 14, 2022 

Facebook, Amazon, Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Netflix, Nvidia

Up 160%. 85% without Nvidia. S&P 500 57%.

TAMPAN

Born: Nov 6, 2025

Tesla, Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Apple, Nvidia

NVIDIA

NVIDIA Earnings Q3 2025

  • Record revenue for the third quarter ended October 26, 2025, of $57.0 billion, up 22% from the previous quarter and up 62% from a year ago.

AI Build, Tesla, Nvidia

US Saudi Investment Forum. Full interview here. Elon and Jensen Huang. 

Play at 7.37 Work will be optional. Elon Musk says if current AI and robotics trends continue “money will stop being relevant in the future.” Then to Jensen. Hahaha

Play at 14.50.  Elon and Jenson announcing 500 mw or gw? Gazillion $’s. HaHaHa 

Play at 18.35. AI in Space. 

Netflix 

  • Per WSJ Bids for Warner Brothers.  
    • At the same time, Warner Discovery continues to move forward with plans to separate its assets into two companies: one to house its studios and streaming business, and the other comprising its cable networks.
  • Stock Split. 10:1

Recommendations

  • Get a hobby. 
  • Restrung my guitar. 
  • Writing a rhythm, lead and lyrics to a song.

#98 – Markets, Bitcoin, NVIDIA, Tesla, Politics Read More »

#97 – Golf, Tesla, Robotics, Markets

Agenda: 

  • Golf
  • Tesla & Robots

Apple

  • Iphone
  • Stock at all-time-high $273

Shutdown. Politicians should forgo paychecks perm!! 

Nelly Korda vs Grant Horvat

  • Same tees. Stroke play. 5 shots to her. Her course. ~6700 yards. 
  • 4th hole Par 3 207 yards. So not easy!!
  • Driver carry: 250 yds
  • 125 yd. Hitting PW. (LIKE ME!!). 9 iron uphill to 131. Easy swing. 
  • She hits even to “Down” on Driver. So don’t listen to those saying you have to hit on the upswing. 
  • She plays Taylor Made. Loves them!
  • She is so NICE and endearing. Charming. Smiling 100% of time.

Kai Trump set to play in first LPGA event. Invite due to large following. 

  • Will attend and play at UofM

Paige Spirinac cheating by stomping grass. I’ve totally DONE this!!! 

Key Prohibition (Rule 8.1a)

  • You must not take deliberate actions to improve the position or lie of your ball, or the area of your intended stance or swing, by altering physical conditions. This includes:
    • Touching, pressing down, or trampling grass, vegetation, or the ground around the ball.
    • Examples of breaches:
      • Standing on tall grass or weeds to push them down and aside, clearing a path for your stance or swing when you could have taken a stance without doing so.
      • Repeatedly stepping or stomping in the rough to flatten the area around the ball, improving the lie or backswing path.
      • Bending or breaking branches/grass unnecessarily while preparing your stance.

Blue Origin Landed Booster on Ocean vessel.

Encyclopedia Galactica

Markets – S&P 500

  • Markets down this week.
  • Correction should be expected. 

S&P500 Up 16, 2% off high. 

Tech: Up 20%, ~5% off high

Tesla

End of last Podcast was discussing Elon Comp package passing:

  • Play at 58.18. Stop 1:02. Scale of Optimus. We want Starwars, not Terminator. 
  • 1 million unit production line in Fremont. 10m unit production line in Austin.
  • Play at 1:14.50. Manufacturing Robots. 
    • Cars are Robots
    • Stop at 1:16. 

Robotics: Prediction of how USA vs China in Humanoid robotics will go over the next few years 

HUGE 

  1. This is analogous to SpaceX. Private company saves Country. 86% of Global cargo

  1. WE NEED ROBOTS!! Tesla is our ONLY hope. 
    1. General Intelligence Era (Robots work and encompass AGI).
    2. More Robots than humans by 2045. TAM = $200 trillion. 

Proxy Advisors

Glass Lewis and ISS facing antitrust probe

White House looking at rules to curb their influence. 

  • Makes no sense how ETFs are voted. 
  • Consolidates too much power in ETF managers. 

Delaware

I’ll say it again – boards that don’t move could be sued in Delaware for staying – and exposing shareholders to uncapped securities claims. https://x.com/bgurley/status/1988630110002421806?s=51&t=YUkdoBz4yNifBaQlQUp3-g

Tesla Sales

Tesla outsold in Revenue the top 20 companies

Ford on Tesla

  • Remember Ford $13 billion loss on EVs since 2023
  • 1.6km of wires more! 

Politician’s Absurdity

PlayThis video is great. Government kills affordability of everything it touches! 

Play and don’t get too upset. This video by Roland Gutierrez is a perfect summary of why socialism is pretty much evil. Don’t be lazy. Work your ass off. You’ll be 1000x happier than the person who sat back and received some Government aide. Why? You earned it! 

Economic impact of Elon Musk. Last 4 years.

  • Salaries: $110 Billion
  • Taxes: $46 billion
  • Vendors: $173 B
  • $1 trillion income is taxes at $500 billion. 

California working on 5% tax “1-time” tax on wealth over $1Billion. 

  • 255 in CA
  • No such thing as one time. 
  • Mass exodus!

Irony and Paradox of people saying: 

Recommendations

#97 – Golf, Tesla, Robotics, Markets Read More »

#96 – Tesla $1 trillion Comp Package, Palantir, Netflix, NY Mayor

Markets

TAMPAN: Tesla, Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Apple, Nvidia

Tesla

Competition with xPeng?

3 rules, motes, advantages, whatever:: Ai, Scale, Manufacturing software and hardware.

Compensation Plan

Live streaming Shareholder meeting. 

Headlines screaming: “1 Trillion pay package!!”  

Proxy here.

  • Shareholder final vote and reveal today. 
  • 1 Million Bots delivered and 1 Million Robotaxis!! 

Rules:

  • 12 Tranches. 12 Market Cap + 12 Operational 
  • Term: 10 years! 
  • Award: 1% of shares in form of RSU. 
  • Vest on (a) the Market Capitalization Milestone for such tranche and (b) a previously unmet Operational Milestone. 

12 Market Capitalization Milestones:

  • 1: $2 trillion
  • 2-10: $500 billion (to $6.5 trillion)
  • 11-12: $1 trillion (to $7.5 and $8.5 trillion

12 Operational Milestones

Product Goals

    1. 20 Million Tesla Vehicles Delivered
    2. 10 Million Active FSD Subscriptions
  • 1 Million Bots Delivered
  • 1 Million Robotaxis in Commercial Operation

Adjusted EBITDA Milestones

  1. $50 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA
  2. $80 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA
  3. $130 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA
  4. $210 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA
  5. $300 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA
  6. $400 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA
  7. $400 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA
  8. $400 Billion of Adjusted EBITDA

Schwab Swirl on X 

ETF ownership and voting rights 

Ford

Ford executives are in active discussions about scrapping the electric version of its F-150 pickup, according to people familiar with the matter, which would make the money-losing truck America’s first major EV casualty. 

The Lightning, once described by Ford as a modern Model T for its importance to the company, fell far short of expectations as American truck buyers skipped the electric version of the top-selling truck. Ford has racked up $13 billion in EV losses since 2023.

% of Global EV Sales

    • 25.7m BEV sales since 2019
    • 7.3m is Tesla. 
      • 28.4%  
  • NOT EVEN ONE other American car company!!! 

SAIC: https://saicusa.com/

Money Losing EV Makers

Lucid ranks #3 most cash burning EV maker globally with total reported cash burn of $14.4B behind Rivian $23.2 billion and Ford’s EV segment $15.5 billion. These ‘top 3’ have lost a combined $53.1 billion since inception. 

All shown companies, excluding Tesla, lost a combined $90.8 billion.

Palantir

Earnings Page

Play Alex’s opening remarks!!! Link Here. 

  • So humble 😝

Alex on Fentanyl and attacking boats

“114% – our Rule of 40 score! Announcing the highest sequential quarterly revenue growth guide in our company’s history, representing 61% year-over-year growth,

What Is the Rule of 40?Core Formula: Rev Growth + operating Margin

  • Revenue Growth: Year-over-year (YoY) increase in total revenue.
  • Adjusted Operating Margin.

Alex Letter to Shareholders 

This ascent has confounded most financial analysts and the chattering class, whose frames of reference did not quite anticipate a company of this size and scale growing at such a ferocious and unrelenting rate.

Some of our detractors have been left in a kind of deranged and self-destructive befuddlement.🤣

Headcount:

And yet, counterintuitively to many, including ourselves at times, our reluctance to abandon constraints has been a principal and driving force of our continued rise.

Our headcount is one manifestation of this disciplined approach. The casual expansion of our ranks would have diminished the need to lean even more heavily on the strength of our software and the Ontology and to ensure their continued maturation. The alternative would have been to rely on an army of bright minds to do work that would have obscured the platform’s weaknesses and ultimately hindered its development.

Henry Jaglom, the British film director, said in an interview with the Washington Post in 1994, citing his friend Orson Welles, “The enemy of art is the absence of limitations.”

The same is absolutely true in software development.

Netflix

  • KPop Demon Hunters
  • 325 million views. 
  • $10b kpop industry
  • Remember Gangnam Style: 
  • Black Pink Tour. Highest grossing tour by female group. 

Rumors:

  • Warner Brothers
  • Licensing Video podcasts from Sirius

Mandami

Services the New York City Mayor is Responsible For

  • Public Safety: Managing the New York City Police Department (NYPD) and Fire Department (FDNY), with approximately 30,000 police officers.
  • Education
  • Public Services and Infrastructure: Administering sanitation, public property maintenance, street maintenance, and parks improvements.
  • Housing and Economic Development.
  • Health and Social Services: Managing mental health services, homeless services, and programs like universal childcare and rental assistance.
  • Cultural and Community Services
  • City Planning and Regulation: Enforcing city and state laws, managing land use, city contracts, and agencies like the Department of City Planning and Landmarks Preservation Commission.
  • Appointments and Budget

(b) Approximate Budget by Revenue Source

The New York City budget for Fiscal Year 2026 is approximately $115.9 billion, the largest municipal budget in the U.S.. Revenue sources include:

  • Real Property Taxes: ~$34.97 billion in FY25, the largest single source, expected to grow in FY26 due to increased property assessments.
  • Personal Income Taxes (PIT) and Pass-Through Entity Tax (PTET): ~$17.28 billion (based on FY 2025 data, with modest growth expected for FY 2026).
  • Business Income Taxes: ~$11.95 billion (projected for FY 2026). 
  • Sales Taxes: ~$9.5 billion (estimated for FY 2026). 
  • State Categorical Grants: ~$7 billion (estimated for FY 2026). 
  • Federal Categorical Grants: ~$6.5 billion (estimated for FY 2026). 

Top 1-5% (incomes ~$300,000-$815,000): Likely contribute ~10-20% of PIT, or ~$1.7-$3.5 billion in FY 2025, equating to ~1.5-3% of the total budget. For FY 2026, this would be ~$1.8-$3.6 billion, or ~1.6-3.1% of the budget.

Closing

1929 book on Audio. 

The Diplomat. Wife and will watch season 2 now. 

Elon on Joe Rogan. 

The enemy of art is the absence of limitations

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