#71 – Oregon Ducks, 529s, Nvidia, XAI, RoboTaxi, NFLX, Crypto

October 17, 2024

Bettina's Fall/Winter 2024 Fall Fashion Show

Oregon wins 32-31 over Ohio State

Exploiting loophole in rules. NCAA to close loophole.

  • In the National Football League, the clock reverts back to the original time on a 12-man penalty — that is not the case in college football.
  • 10 seconds to go. 3rd and 25.
  • Put an extra defender on field. Then either:
    • (a) Buckeyes make a play and decline penalty. Or
    • (b) Penalty accepted, and 4 seconds off clock. Only 5 yds gained.
  • Now only 6 seconds on clock and need 10-12 yds to make field goal more realistic.
  • Time more important than yards.

529 Plans and Markets

  • Fidelity or Vanguard. Done.
    • Wealthfront: couldn’t find the underlying portfolio holdings?
    • Holdings are WAY too conservative.
  • 6000/month &6% or 7&7. Gets you between $200-$250k.
  • 529 Rollovers?
    • Can’t roll it all to a Roth. $35,000 lifetime.

RoboTaxi - We-Robot Event - Tesla

  • Elon key note.
  • Stayed in LA at Burbank Hotel. Nice.
  • Elevator operator analogy.
  • Cyber Cab unveil. Below $30k. No wheels or pedals. Production in 2026 (optimistic).
    • Inductive charging. No plug.
  • Fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in CA and Texas in 2025. Model 3
  • Van that can carry up to 20 people or packaging.
  • Optimus
    • Serving drinks and interacting with everyone there. Rumor is some human involvement.
    • My interaction with Optimus. Sub-optimal
    • Should cost $20-30k.
    • Still thinks it will be biggest product ever of any kind. Everyone will want an optimus “buddy”.

Nvidia and XAI:

  • Jensen Juang on Brad Gerstner Podcast.
  • 100m AI assistants to aid his workforce.
  • Jensen talking to Brad: https://x.com/ajtourville/status/1845481395625304331?s=51&t=YUkdoBz4yNifBaQlQUp3-g
    • “Never been done before – xAI did in 19 days what everyone else needs one year to accomplish.
    • “Easily the fastest super computer on the planet”.
    • Normally 3 years to plan and 1 year to set up.
    • That is superhuman – There's only one person in the world who could do that – Elon Musk is singular in his understanding of engineering.”
  • From Pierre Ferragu

Hiive

  • Can buy SpaceX and XaI there.
  • Sometimes with major conditions, like annual fee and “carry” of 10-20%.

Netflix Earnings: Strong.

Crypto

Best asset class returns in 5 and 10 years…not fair to go back further?

  • How much to own?
  • Why?
  • And where to hold it/ how to invest in it?
  • IBIT and ETHA.
  • Tight correlation to underlying assets.
  • Managed by iShares/ Blackrock, so probably good controls in place.
  • Fees are reasonable.

Recommendations:

  • Wife: Citadel Diana on Amazon
I'm Sean Hathaway

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